Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.257838 0.277431 0.298223 0.322003 0.348537 0.377335 0.411092
2025-12-07 0.223081 0.250828 0.282185 0.320562 0.366700 0.420947 0.490414
2025-12-14 0.201445 0.233296 0.270871 0.319109 0.380350 0.456872 0.561990
2025-12-21 0.183193 0.216776 0.257669 0.312096 0.384175 0.478716 0.616352
2025-12-28 0.174744 0.210938 0.256332 0.318861 0.405148 0.523947 0.707586
2026-01-04 0.166643 0.204559 0.253321 0.322514 0.421523 0.563947 0.796774
2026-01-11 0.158548 0.197395 0.248434 0.322738 0.432507 0.596759 0.879543
2026-01-18 0.149498 0.188250 0.240045 0.317046 0.433846 0.614540 0.939923
2026-01-25 0.140477 0.178542 0.230146 0.308212 0.429299 0.622053 0.983105
2026-02-01 0.133430 0.171116 0.222915 0.302627 0.429036 0.636137 1.040114
2026-02-08 0.126693 0.163745 0.215287 0.295801 0.426012 0.644935 1.088176
2026-02-15 0.121227 0.157880 0.209472 0.291271 0.426191 0.659076 1.149150
2026-02-22 0.118393 0.155758 0.209182 0.295600 0.442008 0.704092 1.286661
2026-03-01 0.114265 0.151577 0.205622 0.294510 0.448540 0.733005 1.396585
2026-03-08 0.110422 0.147615 0.202140 0.293239 0.454536 0.761571 1.513009
2026-03-15 0.105670 0.142079 0.195943 0.287011 0.450926 0.770338 1.582348
2026-03-22 0.104164 0.141308 0.197037 0.293022 0.470333 0.829087 1.800065
2026-03-29 0.102123 0.139616 0.196564 0.296265 0.484763 0.879418 2.012273
2026-04-05 0.099552 0.136992 0.194453 0.296464 0.493225 0.917713 2.202642
2026-04-12 0.096042 0.132776 0.189570 0.291410 0.490699 0.930183 2.314575
2026-04-19 0.092165 0.127853 0.183333 0.283558 0.481823 0.926370 2.370390
2026-04-26 0.089080 0.124070 0.178816 0.278589 0.478513 0.935800 2.477948
2026-05-03 0.085941 0.120102 0.173842 0.272508 0.472389 0.937454 2.558060